10 Questions About the New Hampshire Primary, Including, ‘Can Anyone Beat Trump?’
Excitement is palpable as the New Hampshire primary, the nation’s first, draws near. With former President Donald Trump’s dominance in Iowa, eyes turn to New Hampshire for a potential upset. Here are 10 key questions surrounding this pivotal event:
1. Can Anyone Beat Trump?
Nikki Haley has gained ground on Trump in New Hampshire, but he remains the frontrunner. New Hampshire’s moderate electorate may present a challenge for Haley, but surprises have been known to occur. A recent Marist poll revealed that two-thirds of Republican voters support immunity for Trump over actions during his presidency, highlighting potential hurdles in the general election.
2. What Time Does Voting Take Place?
Polling places must operate from 11 a.m. to 7 p.m. ET, with some offering extended hours. However, all polls close by 8:00 p.m. ET.
3. Who Is Allowed to Vote?
Unlike the Iowa caucuses, New Hampshire allows independents to participate in either the Republican or Democratic primary. This dynamic, coupled with the state’s sizable independent voter population, adds an intriguing layer to the election.
4. Who Will Be on the Ballot?
The Republican primary features an extensive list of candidates, including those who have withdrawn from the race. Similarly, the Democratic primary boasts a substantial number of contenders. President Biden’s absence from the ballot is notable, as the Democratic Party has demoted New Hampshire’s significance in favor of South Carolina.
5. What Might Turnout Be Like?
Secretary of State David Scanlan anticipates a record turnout of 322,000 for the GOP primary, surpassing the previous record set in 2016. New Hampshire historically boasts high voter participation rates.
6. How Much Has Been Spent in New Hampshire?
Campaign spending in New Hampshire’s GOP primary has reached $77.5 million, with Team Haley and supporting groups leading the charge. Interestingly, more than $10 million was spent in just the past week, despite the state allocating a mere 22 delegates.
7. So Why Is New Hampshire Important?
New Hampshire’s century-long tradition of holding the first primary instills a sense of pride among its residents. Retail campaigning and town halls have been integral to securing victory in the state, although Trump’s approach has deviated from this norm. New Hampshire’s history of resurrecting or solidifying candidates’ positions adds to its significance.
8. Why Is New Hampshire First?
New Hampshire became the first primary state in 1920, following changes in Minnesota and Indiana’s primary schedules.
9. Has There Been Any Drama?
New Hampshire has witnessed its fair share of drama over the years. One notable incident involved a hoax letter planted by Richard Nixon’s campaign, falsely accusing a leading Democratic candidate of using an ethnic slur. The resulting outburst and defense of his wife by the candidate became a memorable moment in New Hampshire primary history.
10. What’s Next?
After New Hampshire, the primary trail moves to Nevada, with a state-run primary on February 6 and a party caucus on February 8. Interestingly, Trump will be on the caucus ballot but not the primary ballot, while Haley will be on the primary ballot but not the caucus ballot.
The New Hampshire primary stands as a crucial test for Trump’s dominance and Haley’s aspirations. The outcome will undoubtedly shape the trajectory of the 2024 presidential race.