Trump Widens Lead over Haley in New Hampshire as DeSantis Drops Out

Date: January 24, 2024


Former President Donald Trump has further cemented his commanding lead over Nikki Haley in the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, as evidenced by the latest Suffolk University/NBC10 Boston/Boston Globe tracking poll. With the withdrawal of Ron DeSantis from the race, Trump’s advantage has grown to a significant 22 percentage points, reflecting the impact of DeSantis’s endorsement and the consolidation of support among Republican voters.

Poll Results: A Clear Shift in Support Dynamics

The poll, conducted from January 21-22 among 500 likely Republican primary voters, revealed a notable shift in support dynamics. Trump garnered a resounding 60% of the vote, marking a 3 percentage point increase from the previous day’s poll. In contrast, Haley secured 38% of the vote, indicating an uphill battle in her bid to challenge Trump’s dominance.

The remaining 2% of respondents either supported other candidates, were undecided, or declined to participate in the poll. The survey’s margin of error is 4.4%. These results underscore the growing polarization within the Republican Party and the challenges facing Haley in her quest to gain traction among voters.

Impact of DeSantis’s Withdrawal: A Boost for Trump

DeSantis’s decision to suspend his campaign appears to have been a strategic move that ultimately benefited Trump. His departure from the race seems to have rallied support behind the former president, consolidating the Republican vote base and further solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the New Hampshire primary.

DeSantis’s endorsement of Trump may have influenced a significant portion of his supporters to shift their allegiance to Trump. This consolidation of support has strengthened Trump’s position and made it increasingly difficult for Haley to gain ground.

Voter Sentiments: Motivations and Preferences

The poll also shed light on the motivations behind voters’ choices, providing insights into the factors influencing their support for Trump or Haley. When asked about their reasons for supporting Haley, 46% of her voters stated that it was a vote for Haley herself, while an equal 46% indicated that it was a vote against Trump.

In contrast, 84% of Trump voters expressed that their vote was primarily a vote for Trump, with only 10% indicating it was a vote against Haley. This disparity in motivations highlights the strong personal appeal of Trump among his supporters, while Haley faces the challenge of convincing voters to support her on her own merits.

Campaign Developments: Intensified Efforts and Battleground State Focus

With the primary just days away, both Haley and Trump have intensified their campaign efforts in New Hampshire. Haley embarked on a series of events on Monday, holding rallies and meeting with voters in an attempt to connect with them and garner support.

Trump, on the other hand, held a single evening rally in Laconia, focusing on his message and seeking to rally his base. Both candidates are expected to maintain a strong presence in the state leading up to the primary on Tuesday, with their respective campaign schedules available for tracking on the New Hampshire Primary 2024 candidate tracker.

Conclusion: A Two-Person Race and an Uphill Battle for Haley

With DeSantis out of the race, the Republican presidential nomination contest in New Hampshire has effectively become a two-person race between Trump and Haley. Trump’s lead over Haley has grown to 22 percentage points, solidifying his position as the frontrunner and making Haley’s path to victory increasingly narrow.

The poll results and voter sentiments indicate that Trump has consolidated support among Republican voters, while Haley faces an uphill battle in swaying voters away from the former president. The upcoming New Hampshire primary on Tuesday will serve as a crucial test of strength for both candidates, potentially shaping the trajectory of the Republican race moving forward.


Call to Action: Stay informed about the latest developments in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Visit the New Hampshire Primary 2024 website for candidate updates, campaign schedules, and exclusive insights into the race.