Weather Forecast and Analysis for Arizona in 2024
Date: February 7, 2024
Location: Phoenix, Arizona
Current Weather Conditions
As of this report, the Phoenix metropolitan area is experiencing a winter storm with widespread rain and thunderstorms. Parts of the Valley have already received more than half an inch of rain, and an additional quarter inch is expected throughout the day. The snow level in the northern part of the state is hovering around 6,500 feet, with snow falling along the Mogollon Rim and in the White Mountains. Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings are in effect through Wednesday morning for these areas, with some of the highest peaks in southeastern Arizona expected to receive more than a foot of snow.
Forecast for the Coming Days
The current storm is expected to clear to the east by Wednesday, with a few isolated showers possible on its back side. Another storm system will move into northern Arizona on Thursday, bringing more rain and snow chances to the state. Flagstaff could receive an additional inch or two of snow, and the Valley may see a few spotty rain showers. Temperatures in Phoenix will remain in the 60s for the rest of the week, but will warm up over the weekend as high pressure returns. Valley highs will reach the low 70s on Saturday and Sunday before climbing into the mid 70s early next week.
Long-Term Climate Trends
Phoenix has been experiencing a drying trend in recent years, with lower rainfall averages compared to historical data. The average monsoon rainfall in Phoenix from 1981 to 2010 was 2.71 inches, while the new average from 1991 to 2020 is 2.43 inches. Similarly, the average yearly rainfall in Phoenix from 1981 to 2010 was 8.03 inches, while the new average from 1991 to 2020 is 7.22 inches. These changes are consistent with long-term climate trends indicating that the southwestern United States is becoming warmer and drier.
Conclusion
The current winter storm is expected to bring significant rain and snow to Arizona, with some areas receiving more than a foot of snow. While the storm is expected to clear by Wednesday, another storm system will move into the state on Thursday, bringing additional precipitation. Long-term climate trends indicate that Phoenix has been experiencing a drying trend, with lower rainfall averages compared to historical data. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, with more extreme weather events becoming more common.
Additional Information
For more information and updates on the weather forecast, please visit the following resources:
- ABC15 Weather Action: https://www.abc15.com/weather
- National Weather Service – Phoenix: https://www.weather.gov/psr
- Arizona State Climate Office: https://cals.arizona.edu/asco
Call to Action:
Stay informed about the latest weather forecast and be prepared for changing conditions. Sign up for weather alerts from your local news station or the National Weather Service, and have a plan in place for what to do in case of severe weather.