Weather Outlook for the Weekend: Mixed Precipitation and Travel Disruptions
Overview
Brace yourself, folks! Another storm system is brewing, poised to unleash a mixed bag of rain, snow, and strong winds upon our region. While not anticipated to be as severe as recent storms, this weather disturbance may still cause some travel headaches and put a damper on outdoor activities. Stay informed and make necessary preparations to navigate the weekend’s unpredictable weather conditions.
Alerts and Advisories
The National Weather Service has issued a Yellow Alert for Sunday through 7 a.m. Monday, signaling the potential for hazardous weather conditions. Additionally, a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 6 a.m. Sunday through noon Monday for western Ulster County, emphasizing the likelihood of significant snowfall in that area. Heed these advisories and take precautions to ensure your safety during the storm.
Timeline and Forecast
Midnight to 10 a.m. Sunday
* Rain, the harbinger of the storm, is expected to make its presence felt in most parts of the region after midnight. Snowfall is likely in the northern suburbs, particularly in elevated areas, painting a wintry landscape.
* As the night progresses, the rain will intensify, transitioning into moderate to heavy downpours until mid-morning.
* Snow accumulation will initially be minimal, as temperatures hover just above freezing, preventing significant snowfall.
* Winds will pick up speed, gusting between 15-30 mph, with coastal areas bearing the brunt of the strongest gusts.
* Coastal flooding is a possibility, though not expected to be severe. However, given the recent spate of storms, the coastline remains vulnerable to flooding and beach erosion.
* Temperatures will range from the upper 30s to near 40 degrees Fahrenheit, providing little respite from the chilly conditions.
10 a.m. to Noon Sunday
* A brief lull in activity is expected, offering a temporary reprieve from the relentless rain and snow. Light rain, drizzle, and occasional flurries may persist in the northern areas.
* Winds will continue to gust between 15-30 mph, keeping the atmosphere unsettled.
* Temperatures will remain in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees Fahrenheit, providing a false sense of warmth before the storm’s full force arrives.
Noon Sunday to 7 a.m. Monday
* Brace yourselves for a resurgence of rain and snow as the afternoon progresses. The rain/snow line will shift northward, bringing snowfall to the northern suburbs and the possibility of a wintry mix in the city.
* Snow accumulation will commence in the northern suburbs as colder air is drawn into the system, potentially creating slick and hazardous road conditions.
* The rain and snow will continue through the evening hours, gradually diminishing by the early morning hours of Monday.
* A changeover to all snow is anticipated for most areas, including the city, after 1 a.m. Monday, transforming the landscape into a winter wonderland.
Snowfall and Rainfall Totals
* Snowfall totals will vary across the region, with the highest accumulations expected in northwestern New Jersey and the western Hudson Valley, ranging from 3 to 6 inches.
* Communities between those areas and the city may see up to 3 inches of snow, creating a picturesque winter scene.
* The city and points south and east are expected to receive little to no snow accumulation, spared from the brunt of the snowfall.
* Rainfall totals will average between .75 and 1.25 inches, adding to the already saturated ground.
Wind and Coastal Flooding
* Gusty winds, with gusts up to 40 mph, are expected throughout the storm, creating challenging driving conditions and potential power outages.
* The threat of coastal flooding remains ongoing, particularly given the recent series of storms that have battered the coastline. Residents in low-lying areas should be prepared for potential flooding and take necessary precautions.
* Temperatures will dip into the low and mid 30s during this period, exacerbating the wind chill factor.
Monday Afternoon and Evening
* Blustery and cold conditions will persist on Monday afternoon and evening, leaving a lingering chill in the air.
* A few lingering snow showers are possible, but skies will generally be mostly cloudy, allowing some glimpses of the sun.
* High temperatures will reach the mid to upper 30s, but strong winds gusting up to 35 mph will make it feel like the teens and 20s, reminding us that winter’s grip is not yet over.
Stay Informed and Prepared
As the storm approaches, it’s crucial to stay informed and prepared. Monitor local weather forecasts, heed advisories and warnings issued by authorities, and make necessary adjustments to your weekend plans. Ensure you have a well-stocked emergency kit, including food, water, flashlights, and batteries, in case of power outages. If you must travel, allow extra time and drive cautiously, adhering to speed limits and maintaining a safe following distance. Remember, safety should always be your top priority during inclement weather.